NFL odds Week 6 How sharp bettors are playing Cowboys-Eagles Bills-Chiefs

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By FOX Sports Gambling WriterSundays clash between the and can be likened to one of those 1980s ads for an FM radio station:Lock it in, and rip off the dial.Bills at Chiefs is easily the most attractive matchup on the NFL Week 6 oddsboard and the most anticipated game of the regular season. Thats due entirely to the ridiculously entertaining playoff game between these two teams last January.Following are insights on the Bills-Chiefs showdown and Penn State-Michigan, along with several more betting nuggets on NFL Week 6 odds and college football Week 7 odds.Circle the WagonsIn the AFC Divisional Playoffs last season, the Bills and Chiefs Leonard Williams Jersey fought to a 36-36 draw in regulation after an insane final two minutes at Arrowhead Stadium.To recount: led Buffalo to a touchdown and 2-point conversion with 1:54 remaining, giving the Bills a 29-26 lead. and K.C. followed just 52 seconds later with a touchdown to move ahead, 33-29.A mere 49 seconds later, the Bills put up another TD to nab a 36-33 lead. That left just 13 seconds on the clock.But Mahomes quickly maneuvered the Chiefs into position for a 39-yard field goal, tying it at 36 to force overtime. Then the Chiefs won the coin to s and drove right down the field to win, 42-36.The Bills have been stewing ever since. And in this instance, they return to Kansas City as 2.5-point road favorites rather than 2.5-point underdogs, as was the case in January."There is a lot to unpack in this game," WynnBet trader John Manica said. "The WynnBet mantra in 2021 was nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills, and our trading room booked toward them all week leading up to the cla sic last season."What Manica means by that: WynnBet took a position on that game in which it needed a Buffalo road victory, or at least for the Bills to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. With a different coin-to s outcome, WynnBets risk room might have gotten the outcome it sought. But alas "Pain ensued when Kansas City pulled off the miracle field goal and won in overtime. I am not sure if we have fully recovered from it," Manica said. "Fast-forward to the rematch, and both teams look like they are the cla s of the AFC. We have taken heavy action on K.C. at plus-money on the moneyline."Indeed, its rare for the Chiefs to be an underdog, and even more so a home underdog. In fact, this is the first time in his career. Some bettors are forgoing the 2.5 points and instead taking Kansas City to win outright at +125 for a better payout.But as Manica noted, theres a lot to unpack."There are several conflicting betting angles in the game, he said. "The Bills have the super-revenge angle but are off a blowout win. Then you have a Kansas City team that won a close Monday Night Football game against a divisional opponent. This is often a situation where the team off a blowout win gets hyped up. The home-field advantage at Arrowhead is real, as another cla sic showdown is likely in the cards."This one is up for grabs for sharps and recreational bettors. I expect the home dog Kansas City money to pile on, and once again us needing the Bills."The Sharp SideAt least one profe sional bettor has already taken a position twice on the ma sive Bills-Chiefs clash."I took Buffalo -2, and I took Buffalo pick em on the look-ahead number last week , as well," he said. "Buffalo is the best team in the NFL. The defensive line will be the difference."The Bills enter Sundays 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff at 4-1 straight up (SU) and 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS). The Chiefs are also 4-1 SU but just 2-3 ATS. Buffalo and Kansas City are Nos. 1 and 2, respectively, in .Another play for this sharp bettor goes against the defending AFC champion ." +2. The Cincinnati offensive line will be tested in this matchup," he said. "And should be back for the Saints. Take the home team."Bengals-Saints is a 1 p.m. ET Sunday start.College Football Rocks on FOXLets go back to school for a few moments here Adoree' Jackson Jersey , as there are some monster games in the college football Week 6 odds market. One of those is the Big Noon on FOX battle between two Big Ten unbeatens: No. 10 at No. 5 .Michigan is 6-0 SU/3-3 ATS, while Penn State is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS. Profe sional bettors leaned into the Nittany Lions early this week at The SuperBook, and the public seems to like Penn State a bit, too."Sharp play on Penn State +7.5 and on Under 53," SuperBook risk manager/oddsmaker Neil Fitzroy said, alluding to betting on the spread and the total. "Theres plenty of Penn State support at +7, as well. Fifty-seven percent of point-spread tickets are on Penn State."Theres limited interest on Michigan at -7. I wouldnt be surprised if this closes Michigan -6.5."In contrast, WynnBet is seeing the touchdown home favorite get a little more attention."We've been writing a decent number of tickets on each side, but a majority of the money is on Michigan at this point," WynnBet junior trader Caden Wickwire said.In another FOX-televised game, No. 7 puts its 6-0 SU mark (4-2 ATS) on the line against No. 20 (4-2 SU and ATS). Interestingly, the Utes are consensus 3.5-point home favorites, but USC is getting most of the attention."Sharp play on USC at +4, and 79% of tickets on USC," Fitzroy said of action by Wednesday night at The SuperBook, for this 8 p.m. ET Saturday night showdown.Staying in SchoolSaturdays biggest matchup is in the SEC, with No. 3 traveling to No. 6 . Much like Penn State-Michigan, the winner in this clash of unbeatens stays on track in the College Football Playoff chase, while the path gets much more difficult for the loser.Alabama (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) is a consensus 7-point favorite, but oddsmakers at several sportsbooks including The SuperBook said Tenne see (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) is quite popular this week."The money and ticket count favored Tenne see at +7.5. Were currently at 7, and theres still no interest in Bama," The SuperBooks Fitzroy said.Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET.Sunday Night LightsHeading back to the NFL, the unbeaten (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) host the surprising (4-1 SU and ATS). Dallas has been without (thumb) since Week 1 and isnt expected to have him in the Sunday night game either. But the Cowboys are 4-0 SU and ATS behind backup QB and a solid defense."Dallas found great fortune against the last week, having several key situations break its way," WynnBet trader John Manica said of the Cowboys 22-10 upset of the host Rams. "The underlying numbers for James Bradberry Jersey the Eagles show that they are every bit as good as their 5-0 record. However, some will question the strength of their opponents."We took a sharp early wager on the Eagles -5.5. But much like last week, the Cowboys style and a low total of 42 will certainly stimulate action on the Cowboys, who are currently at +6. I expect a high volume of wagers on this prime-time clash, with opinions forming on both sides of the current number."Down and Out cant keep its quarterbacks healthy, which is certainly impacting the NFL Week 6 odds for the Dolphins home tilt against the . remains in concu sion protocol, and so too does backup . So third-string rookie will get the start.The Dolphins are consensus 3.5-point underdogs, including at WynnBet."The quarterback situation for the Dolphins is in bad shape," Manica said. "In comes the third-stringer Skylar Thompson, who played most of the game last week against the Jets when Teddy Bridgewater went down. That experience is certainly helpful, as the Vikings come into an environment that they generally have trouble with outdoor road games. Check Minnesotas result against the Eagles earlier this year. It was a 24-7 beatdown at Philadelphia, and it was not that close."Manica noted that last weeks look-ahead line for this game was a pick em but now sits at Vikes -3.5 due to the Dolphins QB shortage. Bettors arent really fond of either team."Laying 3.5 with the Vikings outdoors or taking a third-string quarterback has not been an appealing set-up for bettors thus far," Manica said. "I do expect money to come in on the Vikings, as the public will surely like to back the team with a better record compared to an unknown quarterback. Perhaps an upset is brewing."Over at FOXBet, trading operations senior manager Dylan Bro sman said as of Wednesday night, the Vikings are one of this weeks most popular bets to cover the spread. Also popular: the , who are 5.5-point favorites at the .Thats a wrap on this midweek report. May all your bets be winners!Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. Hes based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas. NFL trending in this topic
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